The model spent the summer counting.
Downfield Data
OFFSEASONNEXT KICKOFF ·
Season kickoff
Sat, Aug 29 · 12:00 PM ET
--Days
--Hours
--Minutes
--Seconds
The 2025 card, closed out.
2025 · ALL FOUR MARKETSWin75.4%934 games
ATS48.7%917 decided
Totals52.4%928 decided
Edge55.2%344 decided · +5.4% ROI
The Edge is an automatic badge for games where our model disagrees with the opening total by 3 or more points.
Totals edges · ROI by season · 2022-2025
Paid in 3 of 4 edge seasons
4 seasons of edges at a flat stake, every one graded vs the close.
The Film Room
The room opens with the season.
1 column a week · in season
The full report card
2025 · FINALThe Thursday Board.
Every Thursday morning: the full edge board, every opener graded against the model, and the one number worth your weekend. Free, in your inbox before the lines move.